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We've watched CO₂ rise every year since 1958

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From a single instrument on a Hawaiian volcano, the Keeling Curve has tracked atmospheric carbon dioxide climbing for nearly seven decades.

Verified · NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory — Trends in Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide

In March 1958, scientist Charles David Keeling of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography switched on a CO₂ analyzer at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii. Its first reading was about 313 parts per million. He chose that lonely volcanic summit on purpose: perched high above the Pacific, far from cities, forests and smokestacks, it samples air that has mixed for thousands of miles, giving a clean reading of the global background rather than any local plume.

The record almost didn’t survive. Keeling fought recurring funding battles — budget cuts nearly shut the program down more than once across the decades — yet the measurements never stopped. What he captured became arguably the single most iconic dataset in all of climate science.

The data also reveals the planet “breathing.” CO₂ dips each Northern Hemisphere spring and summer as forests leaf out and pull carbon from the air, then rises again as they go dormant in fall and winter — a seasonal sawtooth that traces the rhythm of the world’s vegetation, most of which sits north of the equator.

It is the longest continuous instrumental record of atmospheric CO₂, and one of the clearest fingerprints of human influence on the air.

That sawtooth rides atop a relentless climb. From around 280 ppm before the Industrial Revolution, CO₂ has now pushed past 420 ppm — roughly a 50% increase — and the line, the Keeling Curve, keeps bending upward year after year.

313 ppm
first reading, March 1958
~280 ppm
pre-industrial baseline
1958
record begins

Sources & references

2 references

Well-established. Corroborated by 2 independent sources.

1 NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory — Trends in Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Government monitoring laboratory “measurements were started by C. David Keeling of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in March of 1958.” gml.noaa.gov ↗
2 The Keeling Curve — History (Scripps Institution of Oceanography) Research institution “On the first day of operation [March 1958] recorded an atmospheric CO2 concentration of 313 ppm... revealing the seasonal cycle and the rising trend that became the Keeling Curve.” keelingcurve.ucsd.edu ↗
✓ Last reviewed Jun 7, 2026

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