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There are more possible games of chess than atoms in the observable universe

90 sec read

Chess looks tame on its 64 squares, yet the count of possible games dwarfs every atom in the visible cosmos.

Verified · Programming a Computer for Playing Chess (Claude E. Shannon, 1950)

Sit down at a chessboard and you are staring into a number so large the universe can’t keep up. In 1950, mathematician Claude Shannon worked out a rough lower bound for how many distinct games of chess are possible. His logic was simple: a typical position offers about 30 legal moves, so one move by White followed by one by Black yields roughly 1,000 possibilities, and a typical game runs about 40 such move-pairs.

Multiply that out — 1,000 raised to the 40th power — and you land on his famous estimate.

“There will be 10^120 variations to be calculated from the initial position.”

That figure, now called the Shannon number, is 10^120: a 1 followed by 120 zeros. Shannon wasn’t trying to dazzle anyone; he was making a sober point that no computer could ever solve chess by brute force. By his own reckoning, a machine examining one line every microsecond would still need more than 10^90 years to choose its first move — vastly longer than the universe has existed. It was, in effect, a proof that good chess would have to come from clever judgment, not exhaustive calculation, a conclusion that shaped the whole field of computer chess that followed.

Now set that against the cosmos. Cosmologists estimate the observable universe holds only about 10^80 atoms — the mass-energy within our horizon works out to roughly 10^79 protons. So the number of possible chess games doesn’t merely exceed the atom count; it overwhelms it by a factor of around 10^40, a gap so vast that if every atom in the universe were itself a whole universe of atoms, you still wouldn’t have enough to match the games.

All of that combinatorial immensity, hiding inside a quiet wooden box of 32 pieces.

10^120
possible chess games
10^80
atoms in observable universe
1950
Shannon's estimate

Sources & references

2 references

Well-established. Corroborated by 2 independent sources.

1 Programming a Computer for Playing Chess (Claude E. Shannon, 1950) academic paper “In typical chess positions there will be of the order of 30 legal moves... a move for White and then one for Black gives about 10^3 possibilities. A typical game lasts about 40 moves... there will be 10^120 variations to be calculated from the initial position.” pi.infn.it ↗
2 NASA Goddard Imagine the Universe government “This gives a total mass-energy mass of about 4.4 x 10**55 grams, equivalent to about 2.6*10**79 protons.” imagine.gsfc.nasa.gov ↗
✓ Last reviewed Jun 7, 2026

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